The Prediction of National Board Performance Medical Specialty And Location of Residency for a Charter Class

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Relationships among variables that may predict medical school graduates who will be licensed, will practice primary care medicine, and will select Ohio and southwestern Ohio as the location of their practice were evaluated with the 1980 initial graduating class of the Wright State University School of Medicine, Ohio. The following statistical analyses were performed: (1) correlations among 24 quantitative variables; (2) multiple regression with National Boards Average Part I and Part II as dependent variables and nine independent variables; (3) contingency tables relating location of residency and type of practice with hometown and age at matriculation; and (4) logistic multiple regression with location of residency and type of practice as dependent variables and eight independent variables. Predictor variables included undergraduate grade point average (GPA), the four subtests of the Medical College Admission Test, age at matriculation, Biennium 1 GPA, clinical clerkship GPA, cumulative GPA, and 15 National Board scores. It is suggested that the results are valuable to the program evaluation and development efforts of a new medical school. The findings are pertinent for one class at one time period. The study is the first in a series that will examine various classes longitudinally and cross-validate findings from class to class and year to year.