Discussed are three theories: 1) Baysian probability theory, 2) signal detection theory, and 3) operational decision theory. To combine the three is to come to an understanding of how one can operate effectively in complex environments. Complex environments present unique challenges from a human performance perspective. They require applying uncommon skill sets to allow for optimization of performance. Applying analytic methods to clarify and respond to mission critical events is most urgent. The analytics of uncertainty is presented. Three mission critical decisions are discussed: to continue or abandon the mission, to perform the approach go-around maneuver, and to determine the takeoff go-no go. These are at the heart of optimizing mission level performance.
Smith, K. M.
(2019). Mission-Ready Adaptive Decision Aids: The New Performance Model for Crew Station Design. 20th International Symposium on Aviation Psychology, 313-318.